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Stock Futures Are Falling as Treasury Yields Surge, and Wall Street Is Learning That 5% Changes Everything

There are mornings when the stock market wakes up worried about earnings. Other mornings, it worries about oil. Sometimes investors become obsessed with whatever artificial intelligence company has discovered a new way to spend $80 billion building something nobody can adequately explain. And then there are mornings like this one, when the bond market walks into the room, kicks its shoes onto the table and reminds everyone that it still has the ability to ruin the party. That is essentially what I am watching on September 24, 2026. U.S. stock futures are falling again as Treasury yields push into territory we haven't seen in years. Early Thursday morning, Dow futures were down roughly 0.3%, S&P 500 futures were off about 0.5%, and Nasdaq-100 futures were falling around 0.7%. Those numbers were moving as the morning developed, but the message was fairly clear: investors were not exactly racing toward the opening bell with party hats. And I understand why. The benchmark 10-year T...
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SoftBank Is Borrowing Billions to Bet on AI — and I Can’t Decide Whether It’s Genius or Insanity

There are ambitious corporate investments, and then there is Masayoshi Son. Whenever I think the artificial-intelligence spending boom has finally reached a number large enough to make everyone involved reconsider their life choices, SoftBank shows up with another zero. This time, SoftBank Group is heading into the high-yield bond market looking to raise more than $11 billion, with the money helping finance its enormous push into artificial intelligence and, more specifically, its increasingly concentrated bet on OpenAI. And when I say “high-yield,” I am using the polite Wall Street terminology. We are talking about junk bonds. Lots of them. SoftBank is marketing approximately $10 billion of dollar-denominated debt along with €1 billion, or roughly $1.1 billion, of euro-denominated bonds. If completed at that size, the transaction would rank among the largest corporate high-yield bond offerings ever. That's impressive. It's also slightly terrifying. Because beneath all the exci...

Why Riley Exploration Permian Is My No. 1 Quant-Style Stock From This Screen

When I started comparing this group of stocks using Seeking Alpha’s Quant methodology as a framework, I expected the winner to be a company with either an unusually cheap valuation or exceptional earnings growth. Instead, I found something more interesting. The stock that rose to the top of my screen was Riley Exploration Permian (NYSE: REPX) because it currently offers something that is surprisingly difficult to find in one place: inexpensive valuation, strong growth, high profitability, excellent momentum, and encouraging earnings revisions. Using Seeking Alpha’s Quant system as the model — but not simply copying Seeking Alpha’s current published ratings — REPX comes out as my No. 1 stock from this particular group. And it is not an easy victory. Chord Energy (CHRD) comes extremely close. But when I look across the five broad categories that drive the Quant framework — Value, Growth, Profitability, Momentum, and EPS Revisions — REPX currently has the most balanced profile. That b...

BPRN’s Local Banking Model in an Era of Financial Mega-Banks

When I look at the modern banking industry, I see a strange contradiction. Banking has never been more technologically advanced, yet it has rarely felt more impersonal. The country’s largest institutions can process payments in seconds, analyze millions of transactions, operate sophisticated mobile platforms, and spend more on technology in a year than many community banks possess in total assets. They can place an advertisement in front of me before I have fully formed the thought that I may need a credit card. What they often cannot do is make me feel that anyone inside the organization actually knows who I am. That tension is what makes Princeton Bancorp, Inc., traded under the ticker BPRN, interesting to me. Princeton Bancorp is the holding company for The Bank of Princeton, a regional community bank founded in 2007. It is tiny compared with the country’s financial giants, but small does not automatically mean irrelevant. In banking, size creates major advantages, yet local knowled...

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